Preface Acknowledgements List of Figures and Tables Introduction Regulation, Prediction, and Assertions of Control Research Strategy Policy Interventions and Contextual Properties of Conflict: Models, Theories, Hypotheses, and Variables Policy Interventions and the Regulation of Political Conflict Political Conflict and Systemic Properties Models of Regulation and Political Conflict Models of Regulation: A Cybernetic Conceptualization Static State and State Transition Behavior Conceptualization and Measurement of Political Conflict Conflict Dimensions, Constructs, and Operationalization Units of Analysis, Levels of Analysis, and Aggregation Strategies in Conflict Research The Conflict Episode Data Description and Transformations Archival Data Sources Measurement of Change within Conflict Episodes The Coercive Capacity/Deterrence Model Estimation of the Coercive Capacity/Deterrence Model Estimation of the Model: State Transition Measures Change Amplitude, Coercive Capacity, and Political Conflict Directional Change, Coercive Capacity, and Political Conflict The Negative Sanctions Model of Regulation Estimation of the Negative Sanctions Model: Static State Measures Estimation of the Model: State Transition Measures Change Amplitude Measures, Negative Sanctions, and Dimensions of Conflict Directional Change Measures, Negative Sanctions, and Dimensions of Conflict The Sanction Abatement Model of Conflict Regulation Estimation of the Model: Static State Measures Change Amplitude Measures, Sanction Abatement, and Dimensions of Conflict Directional Change Measures, Sanction Abatement, and Dimensions of Conflict Intervention Strategies and Emerging Models of Conflict Regulation From Error Control to Cause Control: The Effective Regulation of Political Conflict Regulatory Patterns within Three Models Appendix A. Dimensions of Conflict Episodes Appendix B. Multicollinearity Tests and Results Appendix C. Heteroscedasticity Tests and Results Name Index Subject Index About the Author
