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Forewarned Paul Goodwin

Forewarned von Paul Goodwin

Forewarned Paul Goodwin


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Zusammenfassung

In age when polling and forecasting have come under close scrutiny for real and perceived failings this is the book that sorts the good from the bad.

Forewarned Zusammenfassung

Forewarned: A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction Paul Goodwin

Whether it's an unforeseen financial crash, a shock election result or a washout summer that threatens to ruin a holiday in the sun, forecasts are part and parcel of our everyday lives. We rely wholeheartedly on them, and become outraged when things don't go exactly to plan. But should we really put so much trust in predictions? Perhaps gut instincts can trump years of methodically compiled expert knowledge? And when exactly is a forecast not a forecast? Forewarned will answer all of these intriguing questions, and many more. Packed with fun anecdotes and startling facts, Forewarned is a myth-busting guide to prediction, based on the very latest scientific research. It lays out the many ways forecasting can help us make better decisions in an unpredictable modern world, and reveals when forecasts can be a reliable guide to the uncertainties of the future - and when they are best ignored.

Über Paul Goodwin

Paul Goodwin is an Emeritus Professor at the University of Bath, where he taught and researched forecasting and decision making. He has a PhD from Lancaster University and an MSc from Warwick University and he has acted as a consultant to both leading companies and government departments. In 2013 he was elected as an Honorary Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters in recognition of his contribution to forecasting.

Zusätzliche Informationen

GOR008608772
9781785902222
1785902229
Forewarned: A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction Paul Goodwin
Gebraucht - Sehr Gut
Broschiert
Biteback Publishing
2017-07-05
304
N/A
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