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The Art of Uncertainty David Spiegelhalter

The Art of Uncertainty By David Spiegelhalter

The Art of Uncertainty by David Spiegelhalter


$40.99
Condition - Like New
Out of stock

The Art of Uncertainty Summary

The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck by David Spiegelhalter

Probably the UKs greatest living statistician Telegraph

From the UKs statistical national treasure, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty

We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we dont know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?

David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.

In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.

Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know

The Art of Uncertainty Reviews

This is, without doubt, the most beautifully crafted book of its kind. These pages are rich with stories from 50 years of hard earned wisdom, each packed with insight and bursting with wit and warmth. When put together there is an important and compelling narrative about uncertainty here, this is a book that challenges our assumptions and offers new perspectives on how to embrace it -- Hannah Fry, author of HELLO WORLD
David Spiegelhalter is a national treasure, and this might be his wisest, most humane and most personal book. I urge you to read it -- Tim Harford, author of HOW TO MAKE THE WORLD ADD UP
A superbly entertaining overview of uncertainty in all its manifestations -- Professor David J Hand, author of THE IMPROBABILITY PRINCIPLE
The Art of Uncertainty contains a lifetime of wisdom from a true master. No one else can do what David Spiegelhalter does, and take this foggiest but most ubiquitous of human problems, then give it such order, rigour, and impeccable judgement. Theres science, philosophy, medicine, statistics life all wrapped in a light and human touch, with one-line insights to die for. I wish it had existed 40 years ago; I suspect itll still be keenly read in 40 years time -- Michael Blastland, co-author of THE TIGER THAT ISN'T
This is a brilliant book. A must read for anyone who aspires to think intelligently about the world we live in. Uncertainty is all-pervasive: in our personal lives; in responding to social and political issues; in sorting truth from fiction; and in understanding and mitigating global challenges. David Spiegelhalter provides the tools for thinking about all aspects of uncertainty in a rational way -- Sir Adrian Smith FRS

About David Spiegelhalter

Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge. His bestselling book The Art of Statistics has been published in eleven languages. He was knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, was President of the Royal Statistical Society (2017 2018) and became a Non-Executive Director of the UK Statistics Authority in 2020.

Additional information

GOR013900977
9780241658628
0241658624
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck by David Spiegelhalter
Used - Like New
Hardback
Penguin Books Ltd
2024-09-19
512
N/A
Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
The book has been read, but looks new. The book cover has no visible wear, and the dust jacket is included if applicable. No missing or damaged pages, no tears, possible very minimal creasing, no underlining or highlighting of text, and no writing in the margins

Customer Reviews - The Art of Uncertainty