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Forewarned Paul Goodwin

Forewarned By Paul Goodwin

Forewarned by Paul Goodwin


$13,69
Condition - Very Good
6 in stock

Summary

In age when polling and forecasting have come under close scrutiny for real and perceived failings this is the book that sorts the good from the bad.

Forewarned Summary

Forewarned: A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction by Paul Goodwin

Whether it's an unforeseen financial crash, a shock election result or a washout summer that threatens to ruin a holiday in the sun, forecasts are part and parcel of our everyday lives. We rely wholeheartedly on them, and become outraged when things don't go exactly to plan. But should we really put so much trust in predictions? Perhaps gut instincts can trump years of methodically compiled expert knowledge? And when exactly is a forecast not a forecast? Forewarned will answer all of these intriguing questions, and many more. Packed with fun anecdotes and startling facts, Forewarned is a myth-busting guide to prediction, based on the very latest scientific research. It lays out the many ways forecasting can help us make better decisions in an unpredictable modern world, and reveals when forecasts can be a reliable guide to the uncertainties of the future - and when they are best ignored.

About Paul Goodwin

Paul Goodwin is an Emeritus Professor at the University of Bath, where he taught and researched forecasting and decision making. He has a PhD from Lancaster University and an MSc from Warwick University and he has acted as a consultant to both leading companies and government departments. In 2013 he was elected as an Honorary Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters in recognition of his contribution to forecasting.

Additional information

GOR008608772
9781785902222
1785902229
Forewarned: A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction by Paul Goodwin
Used - Very Good
Paperback
Biteback Publishing
2017-07-05
304
N/A
Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
This is a used book - there is no escaping the fact it has been read by someone else and it will show signs of wear and previous use. Overall we expect it to be in very good condition, but if you are not entirely satisfied please get in touch with us

Customer Reviews - Forewarned